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Our bubble indicator combines multiple market metrics to provide a holistic view of market valuation conditions.
Markets appear historically cheap
Within normal historical range
Above average, some excess
Significantly above historical norms
Extreme overvaluation, high caution
Classic valuation metrics including price-to-earnings ratios and market capitalization relative to economic output.
Economic indicators such as interest rates, yield curves, and monetary conditions that influence asset prices.
Market sentiment and volatility measures that reflect investor behavior and risk appetite.
While no one can predict exactly when a market crash will occur, history shows that certain conditions tend to precede significant downturns. Our dashboard monitors these warning signs daily.
When multiple warning indicators align, the probability of a correction or crash increases—though timing remains unpredictable. Use this dashboard to stay informed about current market conditions and adjust your risk exposure accordingly.
All data is sourced from publicly available sources including the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) and academic research datasets. Data is updated daily after market close.
This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be construed as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and historical patterns may not predict future outcomes. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Daily analysis of market indicators to gauge stock market valuation levels
Last updated: Friday, March 27, 2026
Significantly above historical norms
Market valuation metrics (CAPE, Buffett, P/E)
Economic conditions (rates, spreads, M2)
Market psychology (VIX, consumer confidence)
